大陆成人直播

劳动workshop:Estimation of China Smoking Attributable Medical Expenditures based on Charls Data

发布日期:2018-03-30 10:51    来源:大陆成人直播-成人直播中文

Estimation of China Smoking Attributable Medical Expenditures based on Charls Data

 

时间: 2018年3月30日(周五)14:00 – 15:30

地点: 北大国发院万众楼中心小教室

主持人: 赵耀辉、雷晓燕、张丹丹、陈欣欣、王亚峰

报告人: 张秀兰(北京师范大学)

摘要:The 315 million smokers in China consume 44% of the world’s cigarettes, and their average consumption is 2.3 times the world average. Tobacco use increases medical expenses by billions. Cigarette smokers use medical care at higher rates than nonsmokers, and they accumulate substantial medical bills in the process. Each year, one million people in China, many of them young, die of tobacco-related diseases. Based on the model developed by Leonard S. Miller, Xiulan Zhang and others in the 1990s, a national model that relates smoking to medical expenditures in terms of biological causation (expenditures as a function of health status) and in terms of the association between smoking and expenditures, controlling for health. The model describes the decrease in health status caused by smoking as portrayed in the Surgeon General's report and relates it to history of smoking-related diseases and self-reported poor health status. The associative relationship is the direct effect of smoking on medical expenditures, controlling for self-reported health status. We estimated the propensity to have medical expenditures as a Probit model that predicts the probability of having any medical expenditures, and the magnitude of expenditures, as a linear model of the logarithm of positive annual Expenditures, given that the person has expenditures. Charls data is used to estimate the smoking attributable fractions of inpatient and outpatient expenditures and the combined fractions, by gender and by rural/urban locations.

报告人简介:Professor Zhang Xiulan is the Founding Dean and Professor of the School of Social Development and Public Policy at Beijing Normal University. She is the Chair of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation's China Tobacco Control Project, and the Director of the China Sustainability Hub funded by the Economic and Social Research Council of the UK.

Her expertise includes social policy, health policy, poverty reduction, development studies, and social welfare and social development. She has undertaken research projects in these areas, including key projects from the National Social Science Fund of China, National Institutes of Health of the US, China Ministries of Science and Technology, Education, and Civil Affairs. She has obtained research funding from the Ford Foundation, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, European Union, World Bank, World Health Organization, United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF), Save the Children, etc.

Professor Zhang is a recipient of the Hass International Award of Berkeley. Currently she is on China national advisory councils of healthcare reform, poverty alleviation, and disaster management. She obtained her Ph.D degree in social welfare from the University of California at Berkeley.

 


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