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国际经济学与实证产业组织workshop:Accounting for Chinese Exports
发布日期:2019-05-27 12:00 来源:
时间:2019年5月27日(周一)10:30-12:00 am
地点:理教318会议室
主持人:黄益平、余淼杰、 余昌华、邢剑炜
主讲人: Kevin Lim
Title: Accounting for Chinese Exports
Authors: Loren Brandt (University of Toronto) and Kevin Lim (University of Toronto)
Abstract: Much attention in recent economic research has been devoted to investigating the consequences of Chinese export growth. In this paper, we focus instead on uncovering the causes of Chinese trade. To do so, we study detailed data on Chinese export transactions and firm-level production from 2000 to 2013. We first show that there have been important changes in the structure of Chinese trade, most notably a rapid increase in exporting and entry by private Chinese firms and a slowdown in exporting by foreign firms operating within China. To explain these patterns, we then construct a structural model of Chinese trade with heterogeneous firms, endogenous entry, multiple internal production locations, and input-output linkages between multiple sectors. We use the model to develop a structural decomposition of Chinese exports into various factors: entry costs, marketing costs, foreign demand and competition, wages, capital stocks, imported input prices, and total factor productivities. We estimate these factors separately (where relevant) for various export destinations, firm ownership types, Chinese production locations, and HS-2 sectors. Finally, to quantify the contribution of each factor to changes in Chinese trade patterns, we use the model to simulate counterfactual paths of Chinese exports. Our results suggest that firm entry and TFP growth for private Chinese firms were key drivers of the rapid rise in Chinese exports between 2000 and 2007, and that a slowdown in growth of these same factors was also a key driver of the slowdown in Chinese exports from 2008 to 2013.
Speaker:Kevin Lim is an Assistant Professor of Economics at University of Toronto. He holds a Bachelor degree and a Master degree in MIT, earned his Master and PhD degree in Economics from Princeton University. Professor Lim's research interests include International Trade and Investment, Macroeconomics, Economic Networks. His current research focuses on studying trade in sticky production networks, the relationships between trade and innovation, accounting for Chinese exports, etc.
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